Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.397470 5.883613 6.428020 7.090424 7.885457 8.823845 10.039082
2025-01-19 4.569790 5.146909 5.834656 6.735416 7.918701 9.477347 11.801088
2025-01-26 4.286697 4.983612 5.867360 7.119181 8.943571 11.705984 16.763483
2025-02-02 4.206054 5.053601 6.202397 7.982845 10.939820 16.408534 30.881676
2025-02-09 3.996259 4.920837 6.239791 8.440419 12.552655 21.948231 65.298119
2025-02-16 3.776035 4.741930 6.178831 8.734389 14.073332 29.538105 272.283912
2025-02-23 3.556552 4.535568 6.041597 8.867143 15.398942 39.950874 NaN
2025-03-02 3.270386 4.199343 5.650148 8.440692 15.222046 44.865412 NaN
2025-03-09 3.078955 3.989146 5.439293 8.323880 15.846592 58.033901 NaN
2025-03-16 2.854694 3.709698 5.081112 7.840694 15.220453 61.044052 NaN
2025-03-23 2.745748 3.601756 5.004180 7.932544 16.450759 96.731449 NaN
2025-03-30 2.641561 3.492414 4.911615 7.971898 17.594131 178.108634 NaN
2025-04-06 2.472808 3.281991 4.643760 7.628406 17.407785 275.763470 NaN
2025-04-13 2.312021 3.075180 4.365873 7.220727 16.799588 383.536065 NaN
2025-04-20 2.267961 3.056359 4.431087 7.653008 20.355717 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.276041 3.125071 4.672820 8.638674 29.671931 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.232257 3.100969 4.730186 9.164548 39.325434 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.175058 3.048334 4.722178 9.503605 50.929503 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.109154 2.974918 4.660992 9.656424 63.580224 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.007294 2.830002 4.430466 9.160160 59.369219 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.936438 2.737792 4.307736 9.024249 65.019842 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.844510 2.602578 4.080246 8.467408 56.487249 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.800389 2.552671 4.037036 8.572419 69.667879 NaN NaN